According to Caterpillar the US and Global economy will not go into recession. Should we consider their opinion important?
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Posts Tagged ‘ Risk ’
Caterpillar and the Economic Outlook
Market Facing Strong Headwinds
Most U.S. portfolio managers seem to view the EU sovereign debt crisis as they would a pesky mosquito that refuses to fly away. If only the mosquito would leave, the asset managers could concentrate on the U.S. where the economy is said to be showing so much improvement and stocks are incorrectly perceived...
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A Player to Be Named Later
We have come to the end of yet another European Summit that was supposed to be the one to fix the problem. If you are confused as to what happened then you are not alone. There are two main points to be taken away from this week's meetings. First, the Germans really took control....
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TEAMThink 12-7-2011
Despite markets having more moves than a MLB shortstop hitting .200, not all that much has changed in the past three weeks. We are still awaiting the latest iteration of a "plan" out of Europe, coincident economic data for the US remains ok, though leading indicators continue to forecast that a recession is already...
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Central Bank Action Not A Solution
An emergency ejection of liquidity to prevent immediate Armageddon is not even a first step toward solving Europe's deep-seated problems. It's more or less the equivalent of the proverbial doctor telling a patient to "take two aspirin and see me in the morning". It treats the symptoms, but not the disease. ...
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Will Eurobonds Work?
Germany is roundly seen as the obstacle to saving the Euro by refusing to allow massive bond purchases and refusing to consider Eurobonds. The real obstacles however are poor options, not Germany.
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Lagging Versus Leading Indicators
John Hussman asks us to consider the importance of leading versus lagging economic indicators...
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Further Reading: Chicken and Waffles Edition
What is America good at? Is trade and openess the issue, or the lack of it? The corporate profits bubble and other thoughts, links and errata.
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Further Reading: Michelangelo’s David vs the Drunken Moose Edition
On this day in history: Michelangelo began work on his sculpture of David, 1501 Via Abnormal Returns Market breadth is still pointing toward the bears, the UK owes those nasty Conservative euro skeptics a big thanks you and in the surprise of the day, French banks are under pressure. Joshua Brown points out that what was...
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German Court Ruling May Force Euro Zone Defaut
Kiron Sarker is not sure the German Constitution will allow Germany to give much more aid to the various peripheral nations...
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The View From The Bluff: The Fork in the Road
Now that the "relief rally" we expected has arrived, we encourage investors to think carefully about how to use this respite.
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Jeremy Grantham: A Must Viewing
As far as I know Jeremy Grantham has never appeared for the general public on TV or video. We get a real treat from Consuelo Mack of Wealthtrack with Jeremy dispensing advice about where the market is now. Like myself he sees the market as reasonably cheap, but not spectacularly so. He gives sound...
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European Banks: Too Optimistic?
Given the carnage in the banking sector overseas it seems pretty hard to justify the idea that people are too optimistic about any financial sector or group overall, but maybe markets still are? Let us forget the specific problems we have been discussing about European financials including them being even more leveraged than here...
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Todays Links: The View from Here
Yesterday was one fo the best days ever for the stock markets: What does it mean? I think it ultimately depends on factors unrelated to the move itself. Econompic provides us with some context: Obviously large one day moves in and of themselves tell us little about what is to come. So, let us...
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So Why Do Hedge Funds Help?
Despite recent struggles, hedge funds have done relatively well. Why? One recent study shows they can (despite academic claims that you can’t) reduce their exposure to market risk, and increase it, in ways that adds to return. Who wudda thunk it? Download article as PDF
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What a Bunch of Balderdash
I apologize ahead of time if this post is a bit intemperate. Buried around a truism, the New York Times has produced a misleading and rather silly piece on the value of “predictions.” The thrust of the piece is that predicting the markets and the economy, especially in the short term, is fraught with...
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The train is slowly filling up
Heavier hitters than myself are slowly lining up to put out estimates of the total losses from the credit crisis more in line with my thinking. Welcome aboard! Using far more “off the cuff” methods than Nouriel Roubini, the IMF, Jeremy Grantham, John Hussman, UBS, John Paulson or Goldman Sachs, I have been expecting...
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Quote of the Day
“As a group, lemmings have a rotten image, but no individual lemming has ever received bad press.” -Warren E. BuffettPara obter Seu 100 & Free marcador: toques reais.Variationen von online poker. Download article as PDF
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- Dividends, dividend policy and sustainability « myfinanceblogef on Dividends, the Key to Long Term Returns, Even for Growth Stocks
- Half Solutions Will Not Work | FavStocks on Will Eurobonds Work?
- Half Measures Won’t Save The Euro | Forex news on Will Eurobonds Work?
- Half Measures Won’t Save The Euro | Forex news on The German Dilemma
- It's Simple Really
- Cash on the Sidelines is a Myth
- The German Dilemma
- Is Fiscal Stimulus the Answer?
- The False Promise of Buybacks-Updated
- Valuation: The Key to Long Term Returns
- The Handicap of Experienced Investors
- Dividends, the Key to Long Term Returns, Even for Growth Stocks
- The Death of Equities II: Historical Fact Should Inform Our Opinions
- Will Eurobonds Work?
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