Archive for the 'Government policy' Category

Green Shoots and Brown Weeds

We conducted our first webcast last week, an update on the housing market, unemployment and the economy. We had a couple of technical issues which were a bit distracting, and we need a new microphone, but all in all a fair overview of the economy which was well received by those who attended. The webcast [...]

Bad Housing Solutions, They Keep Coming

I have already given the only measure that I think makes sense when it comes to the housing crisis, but people keep coming up with others. Like most of the ideas coming out to deal with this crisis, Glenn Hubbard and Charlie Mayer try to convince us that the way to deal with our credit [...]

Our Government’s Economic Policy Explained

By Fred Thompson. With only the most minor quibbles I not only laughed, but cried. Pretty much dead on:

The sad thing is that it isn’t only “liberal” economists, it is the meat of the profession and plenty of so called “conservative” politicians.
Hat Tip: McQ

JP Morgan, Lehman and Nightmares

I am often asked about individual bank stocks, especially JP Morgan. Generally my answer is that Bank of America, JP Morgan and a few others look to be likely survivors, but how profitable they will be I am really unsure.
JP Morgan is a special discussion, because I point out a rather astonishing fact, they have [...]

Martin Feldstein on the Economy, Credit Markets and Economic Risk

Martin Feldstein, stepping down from heading up the National Bureau of Economic Research since 1977, has piece in the Wall Street Journal that is rather pessimistic about the economic outlook. More tellingly he thinks the recession, if it occurs (and like me, he suspects it has already begun) will be more difficult to stimulate our [...]

Stimulating our Addiction

To spending rather than saving. From Atlas Blogged:
NYC Mayor Bloomberg on the federal economic stimulus plan:
They want to send out a check to everybody to stimulate the economy… I suppose it won’t hurt the economy, but it’s in many senses like giving a drink to an alcoholic.
Hey, hey, hey… alcohol a depressant. This is [...]

Panic at the Fed?

Like me, Barry Ritholtz sniffed a whiff of panic in the Fed’s actions yesterday. The question he asks is why they acted before their meeting. Here are his questions, all good. I have pretty much stolen the whole post. Hopefully Barry will not mind:
What does this mean for investors. Quite a number of things – [...]

Fiscal Stimulus Not Being Received Well

It seems world markets see the stimulus plan in the US as evidence for panic, not joy.
Stock markets around the world plummeted Monday, prompted by pessimism about U.S. President George W. Bush’s plans to boost the U.S. economy.
Share prices in Asia, Europe and the Americas all plunged by significant amounts; Wall Street only avoided joining [...]

What should the Fed have done?

Reader ChrisB asks in response to yesterdays link to Anna Schwartz’s comment on the Federal Reserve:
In retrospect, what should the fed have done differently?
Risk and Return is really about implications for investment policy, and thus identifying which factors have implications is key. Pumping for particular policy choices really isn’t our role. Still, in identifying what [...]

Debating Housing

Barry Ritholtz, Andrew Ross Sorkin, Dottie Herman, Noah Rosenblatt and Nouriel Roubini debate the housing market and its impact on the economy.
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Hat tip: Barry Ritholtz
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Is Fiscal Stimulus the Answer?

The economy is slowing, and if we are not already in a recession (I think we probably are) the risks of one are certainly high. So should our politicians do something with fiscal policy? Alex Taborrak says no:

Fourth, in their desperation to “do something” politicians will often do something foolish. If a spending increase [...]