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Further Reading: The Billionaire Cocktail Edition

May 21, 2012
Further Reading: The Billionaire Cocktail Edition

Today marks three important events: The Red Cross was founded Charles Lindberg landed The Spirit of Saint Louis in Paris My wife has her birthday! John Hussman sees the negative market action in recent weeks as well nigh inevitable. Last night he wrote: The Market Climate is characterized by unfavorable valuations, unfavorable market action,...
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Further Reading: Creole Gumbo Edition

May 15, 2012
Further Reading: Creole Gumbo Edition

In Search of the Perfect Creole Gumbo Jim Hamilton looks at Joseph Kennedy’s claim that speculators are the cause of high oil prices. meanwhile Venezuela under Chavez puts in place price controls to keep food prices down. Result? Food shortages. Who could have predicted that? The belief that price controls (whether floors or caps)...
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Caterpillar and the Economic Outlook

January 26, 2012
Lance

According to Caterpillar the US and Global economy will not go into recession. Should we consider their opinion important?
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Kyle Bass: Eurozone as Doomsday Machine

December 14, 2011

We have two bits of commentary from Kyle Bass today. First he gave his usual straight forward views to CNBC this morning. Second his latest letter. Unfortunately I cannot find a version of the letter that can be printed or downloaded, so you will need to read it online. From the Interview “If you get...
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The NAR is an Unreliable Shill? Ya, Think?

December 14, 2011
Lance

Long time readers know that I believe the National Association of Realtors reporting and analysis of the housing market is a joke, or it would be if the impact on the lives of those who listened to them were not so tragic. Turns out that their sales data was extremely inflated. Ya Think?
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Louisiana is Leading the Nation in Global Export Growth

December 12, 2011

Leading overall growth of U.S. exports, Louisiana's year-to-date 2011 worldwide merchandise exports increased by 45% in value over the same period in 2010, according to a report issued today by the World Trade Center of New Orleans. Through the third quarter, Louisiana exports totaled $39.8 billion, compared to $27.4 billion the previous year.
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Half Solutions Will Not Work

December 9, 2011
Lance

Even if Germany and France get everybody to agree to what they want, the Euro will still fail eventually.
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A Visual Guide to the Global Slowdown

December 8, 2011
A Visual Guide to the Global Slowdown

Markit Economics has some great charts showing the global nature of the recent slowdown as measured by PMI surveys. First up, Europe: More charts at the full post Download article as PDF
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Todays Data: Retail Sales

December 6, 2011
Photo of Dale Franks

Today’s economic statistical releases are limited to retail sales numbers for the past week. Redbook and ICSC Goldman both show a lull in retail sales.
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Today’s Data: Factory Orders and ISM Services

December 5, 2011
Photo of Dale Franks

Factory orders fell in October and the non-manufacturing ISM shows some slowing in the service sector.
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Chart of the Day: Unemployment Rate

December 2, 2011
Chart of the Day: Unemployment Rate

Today, the Labor Department reported that the unemployment rate declined significantly to 8.6% — the lowest level in 32 months. For some perspective on the current state of the labor market, today’s chart illustrates the unemployment rate since 1948. As today’s chart illustrates, the unemployment rate has been generally trending lower. However, the pace...
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An Interview with Seth Klarman and Charlie Rose

November 29, 2011

Legendary value investor Seth Klarman sat down with Charlie Rose have a marvelous interview discussing Klarman’s involvement with Facing History, his cult investment classic, “Margin of Safety” and his approach to investing. Buying the book is prohibitively expensive ($1200.00 on Amazon) but you can e-mail me and I will gladly send you a pdf...
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The North South Divide

November 24, 2011
North South Divide

Fundamentally currency unions without fiscal union are flawed. Shoehorning the northern and southern countries of Europe into one (with our without fiscal union) made no sense at all (The Economist) The economies of southern and northern Europe make strange bedfellows SINCE bond investors began to discriminate between the euro-zone economies, pushing yields on Spanish,...
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Happy Thanksgiving

November 24, 2011
Happy Thanksgiving

HT: James Dailey Thanks for visiting Risk and Return. Please feel free to contact us with any questions and/or comments. Please note our disclaimer. Download article as PDF
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Will Eurobonds Work?

November 23, 2011
Lance

Germany is roundly seen as the obstacle to saving the Euro by refusing to allow massive bond purchases and refusing to consider Eurobonds. The real obstacles however are poor options, not Germany.
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Off to Oxford: LSU vs. Ole Miss

November 19, 2011
Les Miles and Jordan Jefferson

Not much blogging this weekend I am afraid as I will be celebrating with the Tigers moving to 11-0 for the year! Download article as PDF
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Killing It On The Bayou

November 17, 2011
Eiad

When the year started I suggested to a number of people with a willingness to step outside of the box that a local, young, unproven investment manager was worth considering. Not merely because he was talented or that the funds strategy was fundamentally sound, but because he had a particularly attractive opportunity set in...
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Today’s Data: Jobless Claims, Housing Starts, Consumer Comfort, Philly Fed and E-Commerce

November 17, 2011
Photo of Dale Franks

Today we look at a decline in jobless claims, an increase in housing starts, improving consumer comfort and E-Commerce with only the Philly Fed disappointing.
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Macro Market Update

November 15, 2011

From Naufall Sanaullah of Shadow Capitalism we get a nice overview of the world economy and markets. Open publication - Free publishing - More asia Download article as PDF
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The German Dilemma

November 14, 2011
Lance

There are no good options for Europe. Today John Hussman and I look at what is at stake and how it is likely to play out. The point is that there are no "good" options from Germany's point of view. However, a tanking economy may be a small price to pay compared to endless...
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